The last few days have been much the worst emotional trauma of a long political life. As the referendum results came in on early Friday morning, one’s only feeling was one of deep pain: that decades of commitment to Britain in Europe, and the nobility of the goal of a united Europe, had seemingly ended like this, and all because the cross-class centre-left coalition – the foundation of any progressive advance in this country – had been brutally ripped apart.
And let’s be clear why it happened. Of course there were faults in the Downing Street-managed campaign of ‘Project Fear’ – though the economic damage of Brexit will be real and hurt the poorest most. Of course Jeremy Corbyn as Labour leader proved a useless political campaigner, constantly spreading confusion (perhaps deliberately, perhaps not) about which side he was on. Of course the pro-European side were paying the penalty that for decades that politicians in all parties had, with some rare exceptions, failed to make a positive case for the EU.
However what clinched the result for Leave was far more unworthy. It was the disgraceful opportunism of the two leaders of the Leave campaign, two of the most expensively educated members of the British elite, Michael Gove and Boris Johnson, who deliberately chose to ride the tiger of anti-immigration populism. They now tell us that they love Europe; but never forget the official Leave campaign’s inflammatory poster – just at the moment the postal ballots were being filled in – suggesting five million Turks would enter Britain by 2020. It was not only Nigel Farage who played unscrupulously to the xenophobic gallery. At the same time they propagated a pack of lies that the British EU budget contribution of £350m a week (a deliberate exaggeration by about a factor of three) would be spent on our struggling NHS and cutting VAT on fuel.
Now they claim they only meant that we should take back national control of immigration, not cut it significantly, as the people who voted Leave were led to expect. And as for the £350m, that is brushed aside as the kind of thing that happens in political campaigns! The truth is that they are going to let down millions of Leave supporters, particularly working-class people who turned out to vote in massive numbers on the council estates in the English north and Midlands, many voting for the first time in 30 years. Of course one should welcome people’s reengagement in politics. But Gove and Johnson will end up disillusioning this group in society even more. I hope and pray that the Conservative party ensures that they will not profit by their opportunism. Their legacy may well be creating the breeding grounds for fascism if leaving the EU results in serious economic problems.
Yet within 36 hours these feelings of anger had turned to determination – to not let these opportunists get away with it. Friends told me of young people in tears that their grandparents’ generation had deprived them of their future. A petition for a second referendum gathered huge momentum. Pro-Europeans must continue the fight and this time do it better.
The first battle is to ensure we have a Labour party with a leader prepared to fight the pro-European cause. Many Corbynistas see Brexit as an opportunity to return to the ‘socialism-in-one-country’ policies that the left promoted in the 1970s and early 1980s. That is a total dead end in a global world: a return to protectionism is not the answer to the unacceptable inequalities that globalisation is strengthening in British society. We must have a new leader who is a committed pro-European.
Second, we should back a new progressive settlement with the EU. Core to this is that Britain remains in the single market. This has to be the top priority for the Article 50 negotiations. If the Conservatives remain in government and are in charge of the conduct of these negotiations we should ‘hold their feet to the fire’ on this central point. If they renege on achieving this goal, Labour should demand a parliamentary vote of confidence. Only then would it be legitimate to demand a second referendum on whether Britain actually wants to leave the EU on this economically crippling basis.
Third, we must undertake a period of serious reflection and fresh policy thinking on the underlying causes of why we lost this referendum.
Leave voters did not believe that they had benefited from the single market and European economic integration. That is why ‘Project Fear’ flopped. The awkward truth for the Remain side is that the economic benefits of the single market – and more widely of free trade and globalisation – have not been distributed in a fair and transparent way.
Jacques Delors grasped the need for action to ensure this when he launched the single market programme in the mid 1980s. He argued that the single market had to be accompanied by a more social Europe. His successes were the social chapter, guaranteeing workers’ basic rights and the doubling of the structural funds to assist the disadvantaged regions and retrain the unemployed through the social fund. But the British blocked progress from the start. Even worse, the enlargement to central and eastern Europe was undertaken without any increase in the EU budget or any other form of ‘social’ preparation. This has proved a major error. We have lost the social dimension to the EU. EU economic integration, together with globalisation, has been allowed to run amock through our societies. I remain pro-free trade and pro-open markets: but the economic dividend has to be much more explicit and more fairly shared. Business can be persuaded that this in their interests. A good starting point would be common corporate tax rules to eliminate tax competition between existing EU member states, with the additional tax revenues set aside into funds that spread economic opportunity on a more equal basis.
In the absence of a more social Europe, the spectre of uncontrolled migration is a big fear factor for the ‘left behind’, even when it little affects their own communities. British social democrats should make the case with our sister parties on the continent that we take a long hard look at all aspects of the migration question: free movement of labour within the EU as well as refugees and economic migrants from outside. We need a new deal for the whole of Europe, including Britain: equal treatment for migrants after a period where, through hard work, they demonstrate commitment to the host community; strong integration policies; tougher enforcement at the EU external border (in which the UK, in or out, has a strong interest); an ‘aid and trade’ Marshall plan to stabilise the European neighbourhood and provide more help for refugees near their country of origin; a migration impact fund to relieve local stresses such as overcrowded school classrooms and doctors’ surgeries; as well as new mechanisms that recognise there are limits to any area’s absorption capacity.
These measures are necessary across Europe, not to deal with the ‘British question’, but to puncture the surge in populism which threatens the existence of the EU itself. In other words, a progressive programme for Europe which can provide the basis for a progressive European settlement for Britain.
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Roger Liddle is a member of the House of Lords and co-chair of the Policy Network thinktank
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This article sums it up perfectly for me. It explains why Leave won and Remain lost, but more importantly it offers a post-brexit plan that will benefit Britain and the EU. The only caveat, of course, is that he suggests we hold another referendum if Article 50 negotiations don’t go as we hope. But that’s a big ‘if’ – there is no mechanism to reverse the process, or delay it, once Article 50 is triggered. The one certainty about Article 50 is that exit after two years is guaranteed.
And it’s all Labours fault for Brexit The EU is perfect LOL Open your eyes. How can you look at yourself in the mirror knowing what German Banks are doing to the Greek people, they’ve turned the place into a concentration camp, even the godless b### at the IMF refused to condone the treatment meted out to them by the German banks Of course we could delve a bit deeper and dig out former goldman sacker Mario Draghi ,who was instrumental in Greece’s decision to adopt the EURO he spun a web of lies and deceit to get them to the promised land.Where’s he now, head of the ECB LOL, what a surprise
France is in flames as a fight to the death ensues between the French Government and the Unions Such fun
Whatever tears you are crying are of the crocodile type
What you are really sad about is the fact that your heroes the Central Bankers and the War whores failed to get their way for once
A good piece. “The awkward truth for the Remain side is that the economic benefits of the single market – and more widely of free trade and globalisation – have not been distributed in a fair and transparent way.” I am amazed that it takes the Brexit vote to get this message across to “progressive” politicians. Where have they been for the last few decades???
Where have those “progressive” politicians been for the last few decades? Wherever their ridiculously lavish gravy train has taken them.
What a very simplistic comment with respect; Firstly after 45 years our economy has been expanding over many years and we have no idea what it would have been like isolated. Secondly any economic impoverishment, jobs decline and certainly inequality within Great Britain is predominately a function of our own political choices. So social democracies like Sweden, Finland, Denmark, Holland, France, Belgium and Germany I believe on most counts enjoy more equality and social welbeing than Great Britain.
Another professional politician confusing a united Europe with the EU. Quelle surprise. It’s the EU that causing divisions within Europe. Without the EU, we’d all get along a lot better. Progress, please stop giving such irresponsible people as Liddle access to your site, and try giving alternative viewpoints a chance to be heard.
I’m glad that Policy Network now seems to recognise that the EU /UK centre ground has shifted from acquiescence to scepticism on trickle-down economics (= free-market thinking = neoliberalism).
This scepticism will not be confused with outright rejection by Policy Network or Progress. Such confusion is the domain of Momentum which prematurely declares neo-liberalism to be dead.
The implication is that it is now possible to advance progressive policies that are not flawed by major concessions to trickle-down economics and to advance progressive ideas because they correspond to a public good in the first instance (rather than as an afterthought).