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Lewis Baston Articles

Your guide to interpreting tonight’s results

Nobody is venturing an exit poll for the Scottish referendum. We will have to find out the result the old-fashioned way. The reason for this requires some explanation. British pollsters have, over time, fine-tuned their skills in exit poll predictions in general...

Ukip puts recapturing Labour seats at risk

One of the biggest surprises of my political life was walking into the count for Waveney’s  2013 county council elections. In the midterm of a Tory government I had expected that Labour would win all eight of the Lowestoft wards, all won by the Tories in the disaster...

Battleground Britain

Forty years ago this month, Harold Wilson led Labour back to power and ejected Edward Heath from Downing Street. It was hardly a resounding victory: Labour won fewer votes but a handful more seats than the Tories, and Wilson was 17 seats short of a majority, forcing...

Labour’s road to victory

Introducing this special Progress supplement, Lewis Baston surveys the battleground on which Labour has chosen to fight the next election Labour’s target list in the 2015 election includes 106 constituencies that the party aims to add to the 258 seats it won in the...