Paul Richards in Conspiracy Theories – Just Say No for ProgressOnline recently discussed the calls for a new enquiry into the death of David Kelly. He correctly notes such an enquiry ‘would not assuage the doubters; it would merely change the terms of their doubt’, but concludes ‘That should be reason enough for us to oppose a new inquiry, and disappoint the people who think you can fake a moon landing, kill a president or a princess, or bring down two skyscrapers without anyone finding out”. Both openness and education are important to confront conspiracy theories. Neither will work alone.

On Sunday, Demos released The Power of Unreason. It examines the role of conspiracy theories within extremist ideologies and radical dogma. In it, we analysed over 50 groups from across the extremist spectrum – far right and left, eco, anarchic and cultist. We found conspiracy theories to have a highly visible presence in the way that extremist groups recruit, explain the world and its events to themselves and their followers, and also justify acts of violence. Conspiracy theories help to create stark divisions between ‘us’ – a minority of clear-sighted fellow travellers – and ‘them’ – evil conspirators and the credulous masses.

Given these dangers, the real question is how conspiracy theories can be confronted. Our report emphasises two key ways this can be done. The first is openness. Conspiracy theories live in the dark. Where there is opacity and secrecy, of anonymous briefings by ‘intelligence sources’ and where the mechanisms of decision-making and government are not clear, conspiracy theories flourish. For people deeply unfamiliar with the nuances and myriad complexities of policymaking, the whole of government can appear to be a cabal of conspirators. In many cases, the favourite question of the conspiricist, cui bono?, acts as a intuitively appealing substitute for knowledge of the mechanism of government. Government can do more to open up. The transcripts of terrorism trials could be made widely available. There could be regular, official, apolitical announcements by the intelligence agencies. There could be more information sharing with communities. Overall, we think the secret services should, within limits of what is safe and possible, step a little further toward the light of public scrutiny. This is why public enquiries into controversies such as David Kelly are to be welcomed. Silence is not a good response to conspiracy theories and given their social impact, they are not something we can ignore.

Public enquiries, and openness more generally, cannot work alone, however. Without changing the milieu in which such information is received, they will only add fuel to the flames of conspiracy theorising. The reception of our report by online conspiricist communities is already an interesting micro-study of this process at work. Featuring prominently on websites such as 911truth.org, http://theintelhub.com, and conspiricist youtube channels, the report has been mangled, cherry-picked and generally misrepresented out of all recognition. Of course, all writers complain that their work is misunderstood, but the crucial point here is that such acute distortion is the modus operandum of conspiracy theorists. Public enquiries, information sharing, and greater openness alone will receive similar treatment and will be forced to fit, rather than contest, the pre-existing beliefs of conspiracy theorists. Until norms are established that at least partially guard against the distortion of information, the release of information alone will fail.

This is why with greater openness must come an emphasis on digital literacy: journalistic standards; source attribution; the evaluation of evidence; rigorous research methods and generally the baseline standards that we use to discriminate between credible truth claims, and the many pieces of misinformation packaged to look like fact. This is especially a problem on the internet, and even more on social media and user-generated content. These are where conspiracy theories are most prevalent, and where integrity of content of content is most absent. At the risk of echoing conspiracy theorists themselves, this correlation is no coincidence.

Together, these reforms have a chance of increasing our society’s resilience to conspiracy theories. Given the impact that conspiracy theories can have, this would not be a moment too soon.

Photo: David Trawin