Politics is about winning the argument. In 1945 and 1997, the Labour party convincingly won the argument about what should happen next. In 1979, Margaret Thatcher did the same. In the 1990s, Labour argued that social justice and economic efficiency were codependent, not alternatives. In 1979, the Tories argued that the free market was the answer to economic decline. in both cases enough of the voters agreed.

In 2010, neither party won the argument. The result was confusion: Labour lost convincingly, but the Tories didn’t win. The resulting coalition was formed without a mandate for its programme nor public comprehension of its intent. That means that Cameron and Clegg’s first task was to win the argument, not before an election, but in the months after it. It was expressed in simple terms: Labour’s public spending binge has bankrupted the country; there is no alternative to deep cuts to public spending. It’s a shame, but never forget it’s all Labour’s fault. Cameron and Osborne may be pursuing a Thatcherite programme, but they are presenting themselves as reluctant cutters. They’re not doing it because they want to, but because they have to, or so they say. Labour’s counter-narrative is struggling to be heard. Our central message that the deficit was caused by timely and courageous action to save the banks – and our savings, pensions and wages – from collapse has been lost altogether.

The Tories’ Gertrude-like protests and hangdog expressions every time a new cut is announced is scarcely credible. The truth is that they are cutting because they want to. The economic crisis gives them the perfect opportunity. Their motive is not necessity but desire. The modern Tory party is committed in its soul to a smaller state, achieved through reductions in public expenditure. They never won the argument after the British public’s rejection of Thatcherism in the 1990s. Part of Cameron’s detoxification was to ringfence overseas aid and the NHS. So the combination of a global economic crisis and a monumentally unpopular fag-end of a Labour government presented the Tories with the opportunity of a political lifetime. They can’t believe their luck.

Cameron, Osborne and the rest grew up with Thatcher as their guiding light. Cameron served in her Research Department, surrounded by the works of Nozick, Hayek, Friedman and pamphlets from the Adam Smith Institute. One of Cameron’s ministers Alan Duncan co-wrote a book in 1995 Saturn’s Children which provides a blueprint to understanding the current government. The allusion in the title is to the Roman god Saturn who ate his own offspring for fear of usurpation. So the modern state devours personal liberty. The book advocates ‘the liquidation of the state… until its obtrusive bulk is banished from the private lives of English men and women there will be no moral opportunities to seize, or needs to be met, or institutions or associations to be founded, which the state has not already corrupted or crowded out.’

The means to achieve this is also made clear: ‘the liquidation of the state cannot be achieved without a drastic reduction in public expenditure.’ Lest you were concerned that this was merely a philosophical exercise, the authors helpfully provide a list of government services to be sliced. High on the list is overseas aid. Alan Duncan, by the way, is currently a minister at the department for international development. Then comes training, housing, education, the entire department for national heritage (a forerunner to the DCMS), the civil service, foreign office, student support and the police. The hardback edition includes lengthy advocacy for the legalisation and taxation of hard drugs (dropped from the paperback). Another wacky idea is the privatisation of forests. But can you imagine a government rabid enough to attempt it? Oh, hang on.

This is a Tory government animated by a smaller state. The leader and logo has changed but the driving impulses and instincts have not. They hope to take Britain on an ideological journey ever rightwards. One each separate issue, from abolition of the RDAs and child trust funds, to child benefit and the voluntary sector, they will attempt to win the smaller argument, but only as part of a bigger argument about the size of the state. Sure, the presence of Liberal Democrats in the cabinet and government departments gives some cover for the ideologues. But let’s not forget that the Lib Dems’ first choice for chief secretary (before that spot of bother over his expenses) was David Laws. He wrote in the Orange Book that ‘reducing the state’s role in the economy’ was the aim of Lib Demmery. The Lib Dems in office are liberals in the sense Hayek was a Liberal, not Lloyd George or Beveridge.

They may not have the confidence yet to put their cards on the table, but coalition ministers will reveal their hands in coming months. As they do, Labour must strike hard. Some fun and games over Lib Dem U-turns or Cameron’s personal snapper are permissible. But scoring points must come second to winning the argument.

Photo: El_Enigma