Scotland is proof of Blue Labour’s thesis that faith, flag and country are replacing class alignments. The SNP was regarded with suspicion by west Scots as an Edinburgh protestant supremacist operation. The Irish tricolour can be seen as often as the Saltire in some parts of Lanarkshire. Salmond has defused this sectarianism and offered a social democratic rhetoric, keen on Europe and not keen on US neoliberalism and geopolitics, that appeals to centre-left voters.

Tommy Brennan, the legendary Scottish steelworker union leader, who led the Ravenscraig campaign announced he would vote Salmond but not join the SNP. Like Arnold Schwarzenegger, the other AS is now a celebrity politician whose fame transcends ideology.

The United Kingdom long ago ceded regional autonomy to one of its component national regions, namely Northern Ireland. Alex Salmond loved donning the rayments of a pillar of the British establishment when he came to kneel at the royal wedding a week ago. The Queen will still holiday in Scotland. Edinburgh will be the second centre of British finance capitalism. There will be no threat to the union unless Cameron panics and tries to deny Scottish MPs – including vital Liberal Democrat ministers and MPs – the right to vote.

Salmond will hint at ‘nevereferendums’ on independence but not risk a defeat in a plebiscite. There have been plenty of Salmonds in European or Quebec politics. In their nation-region they are gods. But unless they can also win a bloc of MPs to hold the balance of power in Ottawa, Berlin or Madrid they do not alter mainline politics. And the evidence is that Scots vote SNP for Holyrood but for British parties for Westminster.

In the 1950s Conservatives held half of Scotland’s seats. By the 1980, Labour reigned supreme. Now the wheel turns. In last Monday’s election in Canada, the complacent arrogance of Quebec nationalists was shattered as the Tories and Labourish NDPers won seat after seat. This will happen in Scotland though not until Salmond leaves the scene or his promises to pay for anything on tick begin to be seen as hollow.

Three years ago I wrote a sensibly ignored argument that Labour needed a policy for England. The domination of New Labour by Scottish MPs culminating in the Brown cabinet where nearly everyone was a Scot had led to the slow disconnect of Labour from England. The stellar Scots deserved their promotion as they were a remarkably gifted political generation. But it is in and from England that the UK will accept to be governed and Labour now needs a policy for England more than ever. 

 


 

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