In the 2001 general election, the majority in my Redditch seat was cut from over 6000 to under 3000 and my good friend and parliamentary neighbour David Lock lost his Wyre Forest seat to an Independent Save Kidderminster Hospital campaigner. The downgrading of Kidderminster hospital was undoubtedly a defining issue for me and David in that election campaign. Constituency MPs fight any cuts of local NHS services tooth and nail because they understand the local impact of the issue on their electoral chances, but to what extent will the NHS be the defining issue of the next general election?

While David Lock and I felt the local impact of NHS cuts, Labour won the general election in 2001 convincingly. The economy was strong and a broad coalition of the public felt that the Labour government was in touch and taking the country in the right direction. These are the defining issues for every general election. If the NHS plays into or exemplifies these, then it will be crucial. But that will need us to do far more than simply oppose the current NHS bill.

The campaign against the NHS bill has been robust and effective. The government is on the back foot and in disarray. As I write this, the tables in No 10 are being arranged for another ‘summit’ on the NHS bill. David Cameron has had to step in to try to rescue both the bill and his reputation for detoxifying the NHS for the Tories. While the bill will probably limp on to become some sort of act, the Tories’ reputation on the NHS is once again damaged. This whiff of incompetence will still be hanging around at the next election. People will certainly experience longer waiting, fewer key staff and poorer service. These must be placed clearly at the door of coalition health policy.

We now have the opportunity to go further in developing our policy and argument about the NHS. What are the big choices that we would make about the priorities for the NHS at a time when money is not just tight, but falling. Andy Burnham is right to offer cross-party support on developing further GP commissioning. This is smart opposition. It sends the important message that we are not interested in simply defending the status quo in the NHS. We want to support the further transfer of power to the frontline which the current bill so obviously fails to deliver. How do we ensure further choice and control for patients in a way that focuses on quality rather than simply cost competition?  This week, Ian Austin opened up a great debate about giving patients far more choice about when and where they see a GP. Liz Kendall is leading the way in thinking through how we design and pay for elderly care as the population gets both older and more demanding. Good stuff which demonstrates that it’s not just the NHS which is safe in Labour hands, but NHS reform too.

The next election will be fought on the battleground of economic competence and aspiration for our country. The approach to the NHS that we develop in the next couple of years could put flesh on the bones of Ed Miliband’s argument for fairness in a time of austerity. It could demonstrate that Labour is not backing off public service reform. If it does those things successfully, then the NHS may well be a defining issue at the next election.

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Jacqui Smith is former home secretary and writes the Monday Politics column for Progress

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Photo: lucid_nightmare