As the last few minutes of England’s match against Ukraine wound to a close on Tuesday evening, a friend of mine looked beamingly up at the screen and said: ‘You see, we can’t win if we’re not in Europe.’

His sustained enthusiasm for the grand projet in these dark times is admirable. He even described the Greek, Portuguese, Irish and Spanish bailouts as ‘a blip’: ‘Are you really going to ditch this whole thing on the basis of one bad year?’

Thankfully he is able to deliver these lines with a hint of a smile, unlike his intellectual sympathisers in the Place Lux. But he, along with many of those who see themselves as the sensible ones within our parliamentary parties, genuinely believes that our long-term interests lie in a gradual move towards continental federalism.

But gawping at those ‘who believe’ has been the undoing of eurosceptics of all stripes since we entered the common market. As long as Nigel Farage, with his unpleasant bullying tactics, remains the poster-boy of scepticism about the EU in its current form, Britain can never come to a satisfactory conclusion about the merits of our present journey.

If and when this debate ever truly moves into the public sphere – spurred on by an increasingly diverse group of backbench MPs – I hope those on both sides of the argument have the honesty to confront their opponents’ valid anxieties.

My friend points out that a federal Europe would have a 300 million-strong labour force. It would have the military capacity of the US. It would provide a hefty diplomatic counterweight to the rising dominance of countries who live under the rule of oligarchs and autocrats.

And he is absolutely correct. Britain outside the EU would be smaller, less capable of exerting hard power, less capable of backing up its commercial interests with promises of lucrative investment or market access, or threats of withdrawal.

Europhiles point to the increasing frustration and disdain with which Britain is treated during European summits and in the continental media as evidence that a policy of hesitance – combined with the occasional lecture directed at those who are far deeper in than we are – is isolating us from our closest trading partners.

And again, they are absolutely right.

But Britain within a European state would be no more welcome at the table – unless we decided to do away with hundreds of years of political and cultural skill-sharpening; a mindset that causes our bargaining position to rub up so uncomfortably against our neighbours. However strong, rich or influential a European state might be, we would never find our place in it.

The problem is not that we are dithering on the touch line as our imperious managers tell us to get onto the field, but that we have signed for the wrong team. Our relationship with Europe is a friendly and competitive one, but not comradely. My friend was right – we can’t win if we don’t engage – but nor can we do so in a role that doesn’t fit.

The fever of excitement that surrounded European integration, particularly in the ten years between the introduction of the Euro and the financial crash, may continue to blur politicians’ perception of this, but it hasn’t altered the public’s.

Another Europhile friend of mine frequently quotes the 19th century Italian statesman Massimo Taparelli and his famous saying ‘We have made Italy. Now we must make Italians.’ We are on our way to creating Europe, so the thinking goes, but we’ve got to make people believe in the project to keep it all going. It worked for Germany and Italy – and indeed the UK – and this is just the next, unstoppable step.

In fact, the quotation ran: ‘L’Italia è fatta. Restano da fare gli italiani’ – ‘We have made Italy. It remains to make Italians’. We could learn a little from Taparelli’s circumspection – and the forces that have shaped his mistranslation. Creeping inevitability is the fruit of hindsight. The future is not so certain.

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Patrick Macfarlane writes the Blue Labour column on Progress and edits BlueLabour.org

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Photo: European Paliament