On 1 May 2003, the first term of the Welsh assembly will draw to a close and the electorate will choose who should exercise the devolved responsibilities of government in the second term.
The creation of the Welsh assembly in 1999 was one key part of Labour’s radical programme of modernising and decentralising the British state by devolving power. In the first instance, this has been to the smaller nations which nest within the family of the United Kingdom. It has been the most exciting period of constitutional change in the UK since 1688.
In 1999, Labour gained 28 seats in the 60-member assembly, failing narrowly to gain an overall majority. For the first year, we conducted an experiment in forming a government on the basis of minority support in the assembly, brokering votes on a daily basis. Since October 2000, we have had a partnership government, in which Liberal Democrats have committed support for the government, which includes two Lib Dem ministers alongside seven Labour ministers.
The objective of the Labour party in Wales at the coming election is to gain an overall majority in the assembly, and to form a majority Labour government for the next four years. The arithmetic of proportional representation in Wales (20 members are elected on regional lists where seats are gained in proportion to the votes cast for parties) is different to that in Scotland. We can gain a majority, and that is our aim. In this sense, the Welsh election is the real test for the Labour party in 2003 – it is the one national election in which Labour can succeed or fail to get a majority.
However, the experience of partnership government has been positive. With stable support in the assembly, the Labour-led government has proved its capacity to govern effectively. This has been Wales’ first experience in self-government for six hundred years, or possibly ever; the sceptics had been predicting calamity and practising their weary, ‘told you so’ tones. Through the Welsh assembly, Labour has proved its ability to work with the people of Wales. We have been inclusive of our country’s richly diverse cultures and promoted prosperity and fairness for all. On this basis, we have laid the foundation to ask the people of Wales to trust us with an overall majority, which we can use to take Wales forward.
The Thatcher-Major era had left much of Wales in a state of despair and decline. Traditional industries and established communities had been laid waste. New capital had been encouraged into selected areas of Wales only on the promise of a low-cost, low-skill, compliant workforce. By the end of the twentieth century, the Welsh nation, which had forged the first industrial revolution, was left with grave problems of low productivity, low levels of economic activity and forsaken communities with diminished public services.
Labour in Westminster and Labour in the Welsh assembly have combined to recreate hope and expectation, upon which we are building a new future. We have not yet escaped the dreadful Tory legacy, but we are leaving it behind.
Labour’s management of the UK economy has provided Wales with a magnificent opportunity to transform itself. We now have the lowest unemployment since 1975 and Wales is currently leading the UK in the growth of overall employment. Long-term youth unemployment, which during the 1980s and early 1990s seared the soul of families and communities throughout Wales, is now almost eliminated.
A key indicator of the turnaround is the extent to which Wales is sharply increasing its economic activity – halving the long-standing gap between itself and the rest of the UK in the space of a year. Our relatively high levels of inactivity have been related to ill health, low confidence and expectations, and low wages, which make the transfer from benefits to work uneconomic. The increasing level of activity is an indicator of significant positive change in our poorest communities.
Labour’s assembly government is playing its full part in this transformation. Working with business, trades unions, development agencies, and further and higher education, we are creating a ‘Team Wales’. The team is now developing skills, applying research and development and fostering investments into the frontiers of new production technologies in manufacturing, communications and services. This is our future, with high-value employment in diverse and innovative enterprises.
We are transforming our communities, by modernising and re-investing in our public services. Public expenditure in Wales, determined by the block grant from the Treasury, was £7 billion in 1999 and is set to increase to £12 billion in 2006.
School class sizes are being reduced and school buildings renovated. Effective learning and teaching means that attainments are higher than ever. Large-scale investments are being made in our health service and we are achieving clear improvements in many areas.
There is a radical programme for ensuring that the poorest communities of Wales can take their place in contributing to and benefiting from our social and economic progress. At its core, Labour’s Welsh assembly government is about the achievement of social justice – working with local people to develop their confidence and capacity, targeting public services at those with the greatest need and dispersing economic opportunities.
Labour has a vision of a Welsh nation confident of itself and its place in world. It is a learning country, where all people fully develop their capacities and have the opportunities to apply them. It is an enterprising country, where business prospers through innovation and partnership with government, competing in local and global markets. It is a country of social justice, which succeeds in the modern world through the contribution of all its people.
This is a vision that Labour shares with people in Wales – which is why I expect them to vote Labour on 1 May.